Ok, Maybe it's a little premature, but when a horse is prepared for the Derby like this one it's tough to beat! Creative Cause was hand ridden to victory over Bodemeister in the San Felipe and with the exception of 3 small love taps at the top of the stretch hand ridden to second by a nose in the Santa Anita Derby. When a jockey is instructed to let the horse do what he can without the whip in a race as big as the Santa Anita Derby that horse is being prepped for a future race. Creative Cause has the perfect running style to win the Derby and with Joel Rosario aboard everything will go according to plan. I know the horse has to do the work but having the best jockey in the race helps a lot! This will be Rosario's 3rd Derby mount and finally on a horse better than 27 -1. When you put the best jockey on the best prepped horse you get a Derby winner. Good Luck!

The Triple Crown is still in play this year for Derby winner Animal Kingdom so I thought I would share some Triple Crown musings.  The first Triple Crown winner - the winner of the Kentucky Derby, the Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes - was Sir Barton in 1919 although the term Triple Crown had not yet been coined at the time. The term Triple Crown was used by sportswriter Charles Halton in 1930 when writing about the second Triple Crown winner Gallant Fox. There have only been 11 Triple Crown winners.  Following Gallant Fox were Omaha in 1935, War Admiral in 1937, Whirlaway in 1941, Count Fleet in 1943, Assault in 1946, Citation in 1948, Secretariat in 1973, Seattle Slew in 1977 and Affirmed in 1978. After Seattle Slew and Affirmed won back to back Triple Crowns, Spectacular Bid looked like he would make it a triple - Triple Crown the following year winning both the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness, but he finished third in the Belmont and began a very long drought between Triple Crown winners.  Although no horse has been able to win the Triple Crown since 1978 there have been many others after Spectacular Bid that have won the first two legs only to fail at the Belmont.  All of these horses won the Kentucky Derby and Preakness then failed to win at Belmont.  Pleasant Colony in 1981, Alysheba in 1987, Sunday Silence in 1989, Silver Charm in 1997, Real Quiet in 1998, Charismatic in 1999, War Emblem in 2002, Funny Cide in 2003, Smarty Jones in 2004 and what was supposed to be a mortal lock, Big Brown in 2008.  Can Animal Kingdom break the longstanding Triple Crown drought?  I believe he has two very big things working in his favor.  He has received very little hype so disappointing the crowd is not a factor and he is very lightly raced so he is moving forward in his ability at just the right time of his three year old season.  With expectations low and Animal Kingdom fresh and improving I think he has an excellent chance of winning the Triple Crown!

137th Kentucky Derby
Purse: $2 million; 1 1/14 miles; Grade 1

1. Archarcharch, J. Court, 10-1
2. Brilliant Speed, J. Rosario, 30-1
3. Twice the Appeal, C. Borel, 30-1
4. Stay Thirsty, R. Dominguez, 30-1
5. Decisive Moment, K. Clark, 50-1
6. Comma To The Top, P. Valenzuela, 30-1
7. Pants On Fire, R. Napravnik, 30-1
8. Dialed In, J. Leparoux, 4-1
9. Derby Kitten, J. Castellano, 30-1
10. Twinspired, M. Smith, 30-1
11. Master of Hounds, G. Gomez, 20-1
12. Santiva, S. Bridgmohan, 30-1
13. Mucho Macho Man, R. Maragh, 12-1
14. Shackleford, J. Castanon, 20-1
15. Midnight Interlude, V. Espinoza, 12-1
16. Animal Kingdom, R. Albarado, 20-1
17. Soldat, A. Garcia, 20-1
18. Uncle Mo, J. Velazquez, 5-1
19. Nehro, C. Nakatani, 6-1
20. Watch Me Go, R. Bejarano, 50-1

Interesting Kentucky Derby Post Position Statistics

With the draw for Derby post positions happening tonight I found these past statistics to be pretty interesting.  Posts 17 through 20 are a combined 2 for 68 over the past 33 years but post 15 and 16 each have had three Derby winners.  Big Brown was the first Kentucky Derby winner to win from the 20 post in the seven times that there has been a horse breaking from the far outside gate. Post positions 5 through 10 have accounted for 16 of the past 33 Derby winners with PP 10 having 6 of those winners. The rail has produced only one Derby winner in the past 33 years while many of the horses finishing third and fourth have drawn inside posts.

This year I tried a new restaurant on Derby weekend and it was fantastic. Proof On Main is part of the 21c Museum Hotel that opened in 2006. It is truly hard to believe you are in Kentucky when you dine here. The art on the walls and the vibe in the bar give a very big city sophisticated feel to this Louisville establishment. The menu on the other hand delivers a unique and very local experience. Housemade sodas like lavender lemonade and local farm vegetable choices such as buckwheat pancakes and corn risotto deliver a refreshing Louisville experience. Whether for a drink in the hopping bar or a bison burger in the restaurant Proof On Main is now a permanent stop on my annual pilgrimage to Churchill Downs.

Line of David is my pick to win the Derby. The sloppy track at Churchill Downs sets up for a wire to wire victory today. Line of David is a lightly raced Grade 1 winner that likes to go to the lead and stay there. Seasoned trainer John Sadler has him ready to run the best race of his life today in Louisville. Line of David's rider is Rafael Bejarano, one of the top riders in the country. The jockey on a front runner is very important because he has to keep the horse from running too fast too early and Raf is just the guy to handle it. With a morning line of 30-1 you don't have to bet alot to get a nice payday in this years Derby.

I'm somewhat handicapped on advice for the ladies - so I will simply leave it at go all out.  Hats of all kinds - simple, exotic, colorful and crazy - will be seen here.  Do what feels right but most ladies do wear them.  If you prefer to be the spectator, then do something understated.  If you prefer to be a spectacle, you've just entered yourself into a Derby of a different sort. It's hard to standout in this crowded field but there is always a clear Win, Place and Show.  My wife tells me it's never bad to offer shopping tips so ladies, should you somehow show up without a hat, check out the emergency hat store at the Galt House. Good Luck!

Pat's Steakhouse is a Louisville institution and as part of the Derby tradition, I like to go here on Friday night after The Kentucky Oaks.  The atmosphere is a blend of all the great things that make an institution.  Its aged wood interior throughout multiple rooms give it great charm and the winner circle photos on their walls tells you the history of this great steakhouse.  This place exudes history and even the waiters most likely have been there long enough to be family. Lively horse enthusiasts pack the bar and booths adding to a fantastic Derby weekend buzz. Now comes the food - the menu has multiple can't pass offerings including baby frog legs, pan fried oysters, fried chicken livers (my personal favorite) and their specialty - the whopping 32 oz. Porterhouse T-bone. I have had them all and attest to their excellence. Now, the crowd is basically in business casual although there is no real dress code but if you were dressed for the Oaks - you're good.  Pat's does take reservations and here's a big tip - BRING CASH and soak up this 50 year old Louisville tradition because this 'must' experience steakhouse does not take credit cards! 

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I capitalized MY because I only write about things that I have personally experienced in and around the Derby and like the Derby my trips to Louisville have been steeped in tradition. I found early on a few places I love in Louisville and I have stuck with them year in and year out.
 
Thursday night – my first night in usually - I like to enjoy a casual place and I find that Molly Malone's on Baxter Ave. is a perfect way to ease into the weekend. When you arrive at this Irish Pub you immediately get the feeling that it’s a locals favorite and the obvious reason why is the patio.  It sits atop an incline providing a cool vantage point to do some people watching and enjoy the evening with a cold beer. Irish or not this pub makes you an instant believer with its relaxed atmosphere and great hospitality.  Besides the view and beer, it delivers up fantastic food – from traditional fish and chips and corned beef and cabbage to my favorite – the steak and fries.  It also takes reservations – and on this weekend that is key! Dress is anything goes! What more could you ask for?  Here’s the link – make your reservation now!